2016 Graduate Lecture in Cognition, Mathematics and Information S1A

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Academic unit or major
Graduate major in Social and Human Sciences
Yamagishi Kimihiko 
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Course description and aims

This course focuses on psychology of risk and uncertainty.

Student learning outcomes

The student will cultivate mastery on standard cognitive theories pertaining to human understanding of uncertainty and probability judgment.


Probability Judgment, Judgments under uncertainty, Cognitive Psychology

Competencies that will be developed

Specialist skills Intercultural skills Communication skills Critical thinking skills Practical and/or problem-solving skills

Class flow

Topics change in every class meeting. Basically the course goes in lecture-style setting.

Course schedule/Required learning

  Course schedule Required learning
Class 1 The early days in psychology of probability judgment Understand theoretical backgrounds at the early stage of research.
Class 2 The 70's revolution: Heuristics and biases approach. Understand the shift in research style that took place in the 1070s.
Class 3 The representativeness heuristic Understand the processes of probability judgments by similarity assessment.
Class 4 The availability heuristic Understand the processes of probability judgment relying on memory trace
Class 5 Anchoring and adjustment in judgments of uncertainty Understand the processes of probability judgment relying on numerical anchoring
Class 6 Judgments by hindsight Understand the functioning of "hindsight bias."
Class 7 Influence on choice and decision making Understand how probability judgments shape choice and decision making.
Class 8 Students present their understanding and the instructor evaluates each student The lecturer and the students confirm the advance in their understanding


Handouts are distributed during lectures

Reference books, course materials, etc.

Handouts are distributed during lectures

Assessment criteria and methods

In-class activities: 10%
Quizzes and Presentation: 90%

Related courses

  • LAT.A405 : Cognitive Psychology
  • LAT.A406 : Publishing in Educational and Cognitive Science Community

Prerequisites (i.e., required knowledge, skills, courses, etc.)



This course consists of the content of science.

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