- To study the theory of "Discrete Choice Model (DCM, 離散選択モデル)", which is one of the most popular method of market demand analysis.
1. Theoretical Basis: Microeconomics, Applied Statistics, Optimization Theory, Simulation
2. Applications: Predicting future demand in transportation or other markets, Economic evaluation of transport infrastructures
-To learn knowledge on practical applications of DCM through some exercises and assignments (model estimations with some dataset).
3. "BIOGEME": Free software for estimation and simulation
4. Computer laboratories with the dataset from various research field such as "transportation", "telecommunication", "energy" and "marketing".
(1) To study the theory of "Discrete Choice Model (DCM, 離散選択モデル)", which is one of the most popular method of market demand analysis.
(2) -To learn knowledge on practical applications of DCM through some exercises and assignments (model estimations with some dataset).
1. Choice Behavior and Binary Choice Models (BCM)
2. Estimation of BCM
3. Computer Lab. (1): Estimation of BCM
4. Multinomial Choice Models: Logit and Probit
5. Specification and Estimation of Multinomial Logit Models
6. Computer Lab. (2): Estimation of MNL
7. Statistical Tests of Discrete Choice Models
8. Independent from Irrelevant Alternatives, Forecasting and Microsimulation
9. Computer Lab. (3): Statistical Testing & Forecasting
10. Nested Logit Model (NL)
11. Issues on Sampling
12. Computer Lab. (4): NL & Sampling Issues
13. Mixed Logit Model (MXL) & Simulation-based Estimation
14. Computer Lab. (5): Estimation of MXL
[Handouts]
- Lecture materials will be provided at OCWi.
[References]
- Ben-Akiva M. & Lerman S. (1985) Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Applications to Travel Demand, MIT Press.
- Train K. (2003) Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation, Cambridge University Press.
- 北村他(2002) 交通行動の分析とモデリング, 技報堂出版.
- 土木学会[編] (1996) 非集計行動モデルの理論と応用, 土木学会.
Students are recommended to take other relevant lectures such as Transportation Network Analysis, Transportation Economics, Advanced Theory of Construction Management, Urban Planning, Urban Transport and Environment, Planning Process for National Land and Urban Planning, Environmental Traffic Engineering, and Project Evaluation for Sustainable Infrastructure.
- Class participation
- Five assignments (corresponding five exercises)
The fundamental knowledge would be necessary for understanding this course. All students are required to bring his/her own laptop PC in the class of computer labs.
Associate Professor, Daisuke FUKUDA
Midorigaoka No. 5 Building, Room 203
Department of Civil Engineering, TokyoTech.
Ask by Email (fukuda [at mark ] plan.cv.titech.ac.jp) at first then let's decide the schedule.